Note 1 : SCDC do not customarily calculate houses built on a calendar year basis - January to December - but from April to March. Thus the figure of 1460 shown above for 2001 to 2004 is understated by 9 months. In his FOIA reply to STAG Stephen Brown provided a total of 1443 units built for the 2005 and 2006 calendar years. Therefore we have added an estimated 200 units to take account of this missing 9 month period.
Note 2 : Urban Capacity means brownfield land identified as being suitable for house building. In his FOIA reply Stephen Brown states : “There is no urban capacity for 31st December 2006. The latest available is April 2004 (which is on the Council's website). The study is to be updated to a date of 1st April 2007 along with other housing statistics.”
Although our estimates may not be 100% accurate, our Table shows conclusively that, using the same basis as the LDF Task Group, but with more recent housing figures, the actual need for new houses to be allocated is substantially less than 3620 units.
The LDF Task Group will argue that some of the Outstanding Planning Permissions and some of the Urban Capacity as at April 2004 has been incorporated into House Completions since then. However, the variance between the LDF Allocation figure of 3620 and our estimate still effectively discredits their calculation.
Four : A Manipulated Settlement Hierarchy
SCDC have produced a Settlement hierarchy which ranks the more than 100 communities within the District according to their attributes, and these range from Major Centres - Ipswich Fringe and Felixstowe - down to Countryside areas including Boulge, Brightwell and Burgh.
The villages of Trimley St Mary and Trimley St Martin have traditionally been ranked as Key Service Centres, where housing developments should be limited to allocations, within defined physical limits, in the form of minor extensions to meet village needs.
This traditional Settlement hierarchy, with the Trimley Villages designated as Key Service Centres with limited scope for housing developments, was the basis on which the decision was made last year to recommend Option 6 - surely a contradiction in itself, which shows the muddled and biased thinking of the LDF Task Group?
However, the Core Strategy Issues And Options Document of February 2007 has produced a revised Settlement hierarchy “published for discussion only” and “in order to assist local communities in assessing where they think their settlement should be placed in the hierarchy.” Surprisingly - or not surprisingly - the only two settlements whose ranking in this Settlement Hierarchy have changed are the villages of Trimley St Mary and Trimley St Martin, who are now designated as part of a Major Centre consisting of “Felixstowe And The Trimleys”, with new housing to include allocations of large scale developments to meet strategic needs. By changing the Settlement Hierarchy in this manner the way is now paved for large scale housing developments on greenfield land surrounding the Trimley Villages.
It has been claimed by Councillor Smith and Stephen Brown that informal consultations have taken place over the past 2 years via workshops and meetings with Parish Councils, but it has been conceded by Messrs Smith and Brown that no consultee has ever expressed a wish for the Trimley Villages to become a suburb of Felixstowe, and both the Trimley Parish Councils, as well as a majority of villagers, have consistently expressed their wishes to remain separate both from each other and from Felixstowe.
It has also been claimed by Councillor Smith that the Trimley Villages are so geographically close to Felixstowe and so dependent on Felixstowe for their education, leisure, shopping and employment needs that they can no longer be seen as separate villages. This argument is fatally flawed and ignores the very nature of what villages are, not just in Suffolk Coastal District but throughout Britain. Most villages depend on larger neighbours for these very same needs but that does not automatically change their status as villages in their own right.
Five : The Numerical Need For More Houses - Housing Numbers
With social and demographic changes there is little doubt that there will be a future need for more homes of a different size and type, but the LDF Task Group are wrong to state that the District will need “up to 10% more housing units up to 2021 just to accommodate the existing population” and use this misleading statistic as a spurious justification for proposing an allocation of 3620 or 4820 new houses across the District.
The David Lock Report, on which this 10% assertion is misleadingly based, actually shows a different situation when it is read in detail. David Lock produced four Scenarios for the future development of Felixstowe. Their “Do Minimum” Scenario One clearly shows that with no intervention to promote growth there would be a need for only 311 more homes in and around Felixstowe. With a total housing stock for Felixstowe and the Trimley Villages in 2001 of 13440 units this is an extra requirement of only 2.3%. Applying this percentage to the 2001 total District housing stock of 52670 units gives a “do nothing” future requirement for only 1211 new homes up to the year 2021.
Scenario Two - “Moderate Growth” - shows a need for between 696 (5.2%) and 892 (6.6%) new homes in and around Felixstowe. Scenario Three - “Going For Growth” - shows a need for between 1293 (9.6%) and 1795 (13.3%) new homes.
It is only with their “Sustainable Large Scale Growth” Scenario Four - with extra industrial development, regeneration of Felixstowe as a tourism and leisure resort, and large scale extra employment at Felixstowe Docks - that a need for between 2353 (17.5%) and 3395 (25.3%) new homes is identified. (See below “The Economic Need For More Houses”)
It is debatable whether “Sustainable Large Scale Growth” or even “Going For Growth” strategies will ever be adopted for Felixstowe regeneration and there are no plans for regeneration of any scale elsewhere in the District. Therefore it is logically wrong to apply across the District any “growth” statistics that are particular to the circumstances of Felixstowe. Once again, the use of misleading statistics raises the suspicion that the LDF Task Group are committed to the adoption of Option 6.
Six : The Social Need For More Houses - Affordable Homes
No reasonable person or action group - including STAG - can be opposed to the need for the building of more affordable homes to help low paid first time buyers on to the housing ladder and to provide housing for low paid key workers in strategic categories of employment.
However, the policy of SCDC that all future housing developments exceeding 6 units in Major Centres and Market Towns will have one third affordable homes blatantly ignores the economic reality of housebuilding. Landowners, whose land is suitable for housebuilding, will inevitably sell to the highest bidder. Housing Associations, who build affordable homes, do not have the financial resources of commercial house builders who will always put in the highest bid when housebuilding land becomes available for sale. Since it would be unprofitable for commercial house builders to build large numbers of affordable homes on their land they will always plead economic reasons for not doing so at Planning Applications. Even if they make a “Section 106” contribution to ease the planning process, any financial contribution made would be substantially less than the cost of building an affordable home - at best 30% - and would be absorbed in the general local government purse without any affordable homes being built.
For small infill housing developments in Key Service Centres and Local Service Centres, with a similar or even larger requirement for the provision of affordable homes, economic pressures would inevitably mitigate against the building of affordable homes.
If SCDC requirements were implemented to the letter it is very likely that, because of the economic realities of housebuilding, many fewer affordable homes would actually be built.
Seven : The Economic Need For More Houses - Future Employment
It is claimed that there is an environmental requirement to build homes closer to places of work and that new homes - over and above those allegedly required due to demographic changes in the population - are needed in and around Felixstowe to provide for :
The supposed non-port related industrial expansion of the town,
Expansion of the Port,
Ancilliary employment expansion associated with Port development, and
The regeneration of Felixstowe as a leisure and holiday resort.
Once again, this ignores several important economic and social realities :
The Blofield Industrial Estate, which was granted planning permission in 1999, has not attracted a single tenant.
Trinity College, Cambridge, the major landowners, will only rent or lease their land, and this is an acknowledged disincentive for business relocation to the area.
There are no significant grants available for business start-ups, expansion or relocation, and thus no economic incentives for economic investment in the District as a whole or the Felixstowe Peninsula in particular.
Transport in and out of the Felixstowe Peninsula is limited to the A14, a road which in future years will become even more crowded with the proposed expansion of the Port.
The whole District enjoys full employment and there is thus already a scarcity of available labour.
Expansion of the Port - despite possible railway line dualling and the Felixstowe South Reconfiguration - is not absolutely certain in its extent, nor does it follow that any expansion will result in a proportionate increase in employment. Indeed, because of technology changes the need for jobs at the Port may diminish, and there is no need for ancillary Port-related businesses to be located adjacent to the Port.
There is no way - even with the availability of houses, affordable or otherwise - that people with jobs in Felixstowe can be persuaded to relocate. There are numerous social and economic reasons why people will be happy to live where they are and commute to Felixstowe to work..
The very fact of the Port’s existence and its proximity to the town will be seen by many as a disincentive to relocating to Felixstowe.
Eight : The Infrastructure Impact Of More Houses On The Felixstowe Peninsula
It is incredible that the LDF Task Group have ignored the many serious infrastructure implications of large scale housebuilding anywhere on the Felixstowe Peninsula, whether it is on the eastern fringes of Ipswich or around Felixstowe itself and the Trimley Villages. There are many examples, including :
The drainage, aquifer and flood plain risks of large scale housebuilding.
The current shortage of doctors and dentists will continue into the foreseeable future. Up to 2720 new houses would mean over 6000 new people not being able to have access to adequate medical facilities, as well as a diminution in the quality of these facilities for the current population.
The A14 and Trimley High Road are both frequently jammed by vehicle accidents on the A14 and by the implementation of Operation Stack when the Port closes due to high winds. When the Port expands there will be many more lorries on the A14. Climate changes mean that in years to come Operation Stack will become more frequent. With thousands more homes will come twice as many cars and even more congestion on both the A14 and Trimley High Road. At present there is a real danger that lives will be lost if emergency services - police, fire and ambulance - are delayed by road blockages. This danger will inevitably increase as the Dock expands, and will be exacerbated by large scale housing developments.
The Core Strategy Issues And Options Document is a long term vision for the future, and it is a disappointment, possibly bordering on negligence, that those responsible for its creation have not properly taken account of the infrastructure, amenity and life threatening implications of large scale housebuilding on the Felixstowe Peninsula.
Nine : The Need To Use Brownfield Land First
By using housing statistics prepared as at April 2004 the Core Strategy Issues And Options Document severely understates the current availability of brownfield land in and around Felixstowe, nor does it concede that such land is a renewable resource and has the potential to provide all of the District’s housing needs for many years to come. For example, since 2004 brownfield land suitable for housing has been identified on the South Seafront and at the Herman De Stern building. In addition, it is probable that at least one school which serves Felixstowe will close. Throughout the District it is also highly likely that as the population demographic changes other schools will also close, thus releasing large areas of brownfield land for housing developments. In addition, the survey conducted by David Lock Associates as part of their consultancy exercise identified a large number of brownfield and green infill sites in and around Felixstowe which have the potential to accommodate up to 1795 new homes.
Ten : The Affect Of More Houses On The Trimley Villages
The High Road which runs through the Trimley Villages is, in many places, a single track road and during certain times of the day can become very busy. Problems of congestion - and a corresponding lack of amenity for villagers who live on or close to the High Road - will become worse with expansion at the Port. If substantial numbers of new homes are built around the Trimley Villages traffic congestion will become an intolerable part of daily life.
In addition, with the more frequent implementation of Operation Stack and the consequential gridlocking of the High Road, it is probable rather than possible that lives will be lost due to an inability of police vehicles, ambulances or fire engines being unable to reach their destinations on time.
In recent years Trimley St Mary and Trimley St Martin have already sacrificed large areas of countryside to accommodate housing estates, and all of the Trimley St Mary foreshore has been lost because of Port expansion. The greenfield land which remains around the villages and the Trimley St Martin foreshore are in, or adjacent to designated Areas Of Outstanding Natural Beauty, and make invaluable contributions to the leisure activities of many people, both local and visitors to the area. The loss of greenfield land will, therefore, not only be a permanent loss to Trimley villagers but to the District as a whole.
It is of great concern that the LDF Task Group have shown no concern for the disadvantages that will arise if the Trimley Villages become a hierarchical suburb of Felixstowe and thus liable to be surrounded by large scale housing developments.
Extracts From Minutes And Other Relevant Documents
July 2006 Minutes - Local Development Framework Task Group Make Their Recommendation For Future Housing Needs : “The Task Group considered that Option 6 for the spatial distribution of housing across the District was the right way forward as other options would be unsustainable. This meant that RSS requirements would be exceeded but the Council would be able to plan the district beyond 2021, particularly relevant in the Ipswich Policy Area and Felixstowe/Trimleys where allocations could be made as a first phase or phases thereby enabling the increase to be spread over a longer period.”
October 2006 Press Release - Richard Ward, Chairman Suffolk Preservation Society, Criticises SCDC For Lack Of Consultation On Planning Matters : "Suffolk Coastal really does seem to have an unenviable track record of not really taking the views of local people into account over planning matters at all levels and stages. One only has to consider decisions it has taken in the last few months - the wind farm at Parham, the destruction of the Hermann de Stern building, Felixstowe, the Notcutts development in Woodbridge and The Gallery in Thorpeness to see that what is happening at the Trimleys appears to be part of trend".
October 2006 Press Release - Ray Herring, Leader Of Suffolk Coastal Disteict Council, Defends SCDC Record Of Consultation On Planning Matters : “For an organisation which seeks to perform a legitimate role in protecting and enhancing the towns and villages of Suffolk, I am amazed that they have allowed themselves to be aligned with such a disgraceful and unprofessional statement. To suggest that agreement to develop these particular sites could occur without a full and open public consultation is a grave slur on this Council and I would ask Mr Ward to withdraw it immediately. Mr Ward and the SPS must know that this Council is drawing up its first Local Development Framework, which will ultimately set out how this district will develop over the coming 15 years. He must also know that it is compulsory under the LDF rules that there will be a full opportunity for the public to make their comments. This Council is looking forward to involving everyone in that process, including the SPS. I expect us to do it in a way that will be as wide-reaching as possible because we are committed to encouraging widespread and informed public consultation. On all planning matters, this Council has to comply with national, regional and local planning rules, and in none of the instances that Mr Ward has chosen to highlight has there been any breach of those strict rules. To suggest that there has been is a disgraceful slur on the actions of councillors and officers at this Council,”